Month: December 2014

Looking Towards 2015

the 2015 season kicks off in 3 weeks and I start fidgeting with excitement just before Christmas….  So, what do we have to look for?

What We Lost

Well, we are losing 3 teams to the Pirelli World Challenge!  GTD Champion Turner Motorsport, for one.  Flying Lizard and Bob Stallings/Gainsco have also left IMSA for 2015.  That’s 3 teams with 5 cars, 4 of them in GTD alone.  With them goes 10 drivers. (Anyone who argues that GTD has not gotten too expensive, remember this!  They left due to the costs of the series.)

We lost the Dodge/SRT Viper team in GTLM.  Thats a shame, right after winning the GTLM championship and screwing Jonathan Bomarito out of a championship that he rightfully won WITH Kumo Wittmer.  They both ran the same car throughout the season.  To put them in separate cars, though…  I understand the strategy but after all the work to get there only to split the drivers for the last year is an insult to the drivers.  It’s like pulling your best wide receiver for the Super Bowl!  No sir, I don’t like it!

Scott Sharp’s Extreme Speed Motorsports (ESM) and Patrick Dempsey Motorsports leaves full time Tudor for the WEC.  Both intend to do all 4 of the Patron North American Endurance Cup (NAEC) races.  OK, ESM kinda has to as driver Ed Brown is Patrons CEO.  However, I think that’s a good sign.  They are moving up from Tudor’s regional series to the World Cup of Endurance racing.  If they are competitive, and I see no reason for them not to be, it speaks volumes to the quality of the racing in the IMSA/Tudor series on the world stage!

What We Gained

We have a new prototype team and the return of two former stalwarts.  RG Motorsports is fielding a Riley/BMW for Ohio neurosurgeon Richard Gewirtz.  While they have yet to name drivers, its a start.

Starworks Motorsports is back, this year with a Riley-BMW in cool Martini colors!  After last year’s debacle with the Riley-Honda that struggled at both Daytona and Sebring, they bring a solid, competitive, package for 2015.  Its a package that will work, something they couldn’t do with the Honda in the DP chassis.

Krohn Motorsports returns with a Ligier-Judd for the full season!  The solid green cars return with the state of the art P2 package.  With the speed that OAK Racing showed with their coupes last year, this should be very competitive.

What’s Changed

Michael Shank losses Ford but gains Honda!  Not only that, they go to the Ligier-Honda P2 package. They should be fast!

Chip Ganassi (Ok, I AM NOT Spelling out the entire name…) drops Memo Rojas and his TelCel sponsorship and gains American Ace Joey Hand and Ford as primary sponsor.  This is a very interesting story to follow for 2015.  Ford IS releasing a new GT car at next months Detroit Auto Show with plans to attack LeMans in 2016.  That year is the 50th anniversary of Fords first win with the GT40.  Ford is teaming with Chip Ganassi to make this happen.  Ironically, Chip has both Chevy NASCAR and Indycar teams.  Though Roger Penske (a hero of mine) splits Ford in NASCAR and Chevy in Indycar, I see a big change in the future on the other side as neither manufacturer usually tolerates this kind of conflict of interest.

The FIA drivers ratings are kind of screwy.  ( I can use that word, my blog).  How is it Jordan Taylor goes to Platinum with only a win this season and Joao Barbosa drops to Gold after winning the championship?  Why are there so many top line drivers NOT able to get rides and so many people who, frankly, I don’t care to know, getting (or paying for) rides.  I mean, REALLY!  Ryan Eversley, Guy Cosmo, Spencer Pumpelly and others are not going to be here.  I think GTD should be broken up to a GTD-Pro and a GTD-Am (or Pro/Am).  But, maybe if the purses were bigger…  A story for another day!

What I Expect

I expect there to be another year of GREAT racing, with fewer controversies.  I think the P2 Coupes will be even more competitive with the DP’s.  I feel the Depth in the Prototype class is better than in many years, including 2014.  I think fewer cars in GTLM and GTD will actually improve the racing throughout.  2015 is going to be a great year.

Something to look forward to will be 2016, which is just out of sight.  With GTD going GT3, I feel many PWC teams, many who have wanted some endurance races, will come over.  Maybe only for the NAEC.  But the depth of machinery will be very exciting.

Ford’s Return

Ford is back!  I am excited because the car Henry built is making another concerted effort to win the big one, LeMans! One of my favorite books is “Go Like Hell” by A.J. Baime.  It is the story of Ford, Ferrari and LeMans.  To be able to watch Fords attempt glory is too cool to ignore.

I have to back up a moment here.  I have a Lincoln MKT.  Old man car, I know. (REALLY, I know…)  My friends make fun of me.  BUT, tt has what I believe  is Fords VERY BEST motor!  The 3.5 lire twin turbo is a jewel of an engine and needs to be in a sports car.  Fords Q-car.  I can drive past the local gendarmerie without them bothering to consider whats happening.  (That said, I NEED to be careful now…) The best motor NOT in a Mustang.  The F150 IS NOT A SPORTS CAR!!!  REALLY!  That said…

I saw it in a Michael Shank Racing Riley chassis 2 years ago at the Rolex and had hoped, one day, it would race.  It did last year.  After Michael Shank’s awesome closed course speed record, Chip Ganassi saw the potential and joined MSR as the Ford team.  Chip Ganassi is such a huge operation, with IndyCar, NASCAR and Tudor, Ford seemed to drop MSR for a better opportunity. (MSR did win for Ford with A.J. Allmindinger, though.)  It may be the best opportunity for them to win!  (MSR’s switch to Honda power  in the P2 Ligier is too cool, but a story for another time.)

It is official, Ford is a title sponsor for Ganassi’s #1 car with Scott Pruett and Joey Hand.  I grew up watching Scott Pruett driving Jack Roush’s killer SCCA and GTO Mustangs in the 80’s and 90’s!  A sort of homecoming…  It all seems to be coming together for a mid-life revival!

Next month, Ford appears to be ready to announce its plan to attack LeMans with a new car to be unveiled at the Detroit Auto Show.  Chip Ganassi Racing seems to be in the drivers seat as Fords designated team.  I have no idea if it is going to be an LMP2 design, using a version of their EcoBoost engine, or a GT3 based on a very secret GT40-esque design.  I am leaning towards something that can go for the overall win.

The trickle down effect is simple.  Ford is going to have a huge presence at the Rolex24 at Daytona.  And with that, I am excited!!!

 

F1 as a Business… Not Working for Me…

The F1 season is over, and though I have only been a casual fan, watching very few of the actual races, I have been observing the politics with keen interest.  Chris Harris wrote a very interesting article on Jalopnik.com on F1, stating that Americans expect everything to be a sport (to paraphrase) but noting that F1 is actually a business.  With F1 in apparent crisis, I have some thoughts and opinions.

Let’s look at F1 as if it were a business.  F1 is owned by the Formula One Group (FOG, which seems to be what they are in at the moment, a fog), which itself is owned by Delta Topco, out of the Jersey Isles in Great Britain.  It is made up of CVC Partners, Wadell & Reed and LBI Group and they are effectively the board of directors.  What is not owned by them is owned by Bernie Ecclestone (along with other much smaller interests) and he is its CEO.

The individual teams and tracks may be looked at as either franchisees or semi-autonomous divisions of the much larger business.  Each keeps a separate set of financials but are tied to the overall well-being of the larger corporation.  I say this as all teams share in the revenue with the Strategy Working Group (AMG-Mercedes/Petronas, McLaren, Ferrari, Red Bull and Williams) getting a majority of that money.

The product they sell is F1 racing; the glamour, the technology, the personalities and, lastly (it seems), the on track action.  This is what FOG sells this to the TV broadcasters.  They buy the rights to televise the races in their respective media markets.  Now, this is what makes the sport run.  From here, several entities make the money.  The television rights holder gets money from companies wanting to advertise in the various specific markets.  The Teams get money from companies putting advertising on the cars and drivers. The Tracks get advertising dollars from race naming rights.

But all of this is driven by the belief that enough people are watching the race to make it financially worthwhile.  And what they are watching are F1 races.   People want to see a compelling story on the track; the popular driver winning, the under-dog boxing above its weight, the new driver making a headline.  Like a soap opera, they want an evolving story line, changing race to race.  As the season winds down, people want to see a fight for the title.  We Americans want to see “Game 7 Moments”, those last minute upsets when the title is decided at the last second.

So, where are we now?  

By the fourth race of this year, we knew 2 things; AMG-Mercedes/Petronas would win the constructors title and either Nico Rosberg or Lewis Hamilton would win the Driver’s Championship.  Knowing that, why watch the season?  It’s like reading the last chapter of a book first.  And, as I have said before, I don’t watch a race to see who finishes 3rd, 4th or 5th.  I want to see the winner fighting for it!

The finances are taking a toll…

At the start of the season, F1 had 11 teams.  With Marussia is out of business and Caterham close to dead, F1 is down to 9 for 2015.  The top 5 richest teams get a significant amount of the shared FOG revenue, making them richer, with the bottom teams getting a very small amount.

There are essentially 2 pots of money FOG distributes to the teams.  The first has TV revenue equally among the top 10 teams with new teams getting $10 million. On top of that teams get a prize pool based on the previous years results and “success, results, heritage and longevity”.  In other words, FOG can give more to any team for just a good old boy.

In order to get the sale of TV rights tied down under threat of the collapse of F1, Bernie Ecclestone made a deal at the time with the top teams for their support.  This deal created the second pot.  It is a $230 million budget specifically for those 5 teams: Ferrari gets $100 million, Red Bull gets $70 million, McLaren gets $40 million and Williams and AMG-Mercedes/Petronas each get $10 million.

The economy has not helped.  With the economy in a slump, companies normally willing to sponsor teams and drivers held on to their money to see how the economy would improve.  This meant there was less money around and the money that was there is going to the teams with F1 history and a record of success.  This forced many teams to lower what they charged, offer smaller sponsorship packages with the hope of getting more smaller sponsors. And the small teams now have a bigger hurdle to deal with.

When the subject of distribution of F1 money is raised with many team principals, the big teams argue its better to make the whole pot bigger, rather than change the percentage they make.  AMG-Mercedes Toto Wolff even went so far as to blame Caterham and Marussia of spending too much!  It’s easy for him to say, AMG-Mercedes gets $20million more from both pots than the 2 little teams. This attitude only continues the to widen the separation between big and little team.  This mindset is not at all healthy for a business…..

The engine that drives everything.

The change in engine formula (Power Unit is PU…whatever) has hurt everyone, with the smaller teams, who voted against the change, being forced to accept the significantly higher lease costs passed on by the big teams, I mean the manufacturers.  With a plan for $9 million leases more than doubled with the new engine, and the budgets shrinking due to the economy, the small teams were, well, screwed….

To me, it doesn’t make sense that the small teams are forced to rely on the manufacturers who, essentially, have their own teams competing directly against them.  Why would AMG-Mercedes give Force India its best engine when it has its own team competing directly against it!  And with results helping, to a small extent, determine the next years revenue sharing, there is a serious conflict of interest here and the small teams lose!   (That’s a story for another day).

The way the current rules are written basically legislates no room for adjusting the balance of performance (BoP).  While BoP has been an issue for years in sports car racing with many teams complaining about fairness, it generally works.  Look at the WEC, ELMS and Tudor for proof.  If all the teams are complaining, than balance was found, sort of.

In F1, there has historically been a method of maintaining competition.  The recently adopted rules (the new Concorde Agreement or CA) mean that if a manufacturer got a significant advantage, they could have it for years. This is because any changes have to be unanimous among the Strategy Group members.  Why should AMG-Mercedes accept any change?  It could have been any team that got it. Where the Strategy Group missed was with changing the basic design (from V-8 to turbo-charged, hybrid V-6’s), no method of balancing during the early development stages was considered.  Worse yet, they put in a restrictive design freeze.

Red Bull’s Christian Horner has even gone so far as to say Renault/Infiniti is considering leaving the sport.  If that is not a big red flag, I don’t know what is.

Bernie Sounds Off..

Bernie Ecclestone, the CEO of this business we call F1, continues to speak from the heart.  When your Bono or Bob Geldoff, its OK. But as a CEO, everything you say is considered the official word of the corporation.  AS I see it, F1 is targeting 70 year old men who own Rolex’s and not people on social media, like Twitter and Facebook. Young people need not apply.  It goes further, saying on one day F1 doesn’t need the bottom teams, then saying the next day they do.  This coming from a guy who compared women to appliances.

He has no filter for what he says in public.  I can only imagine what he says behind closed doors.  Ask Marge Schott and Donald Sterling about that.  As F1’s CEO, he needs to act more professional by keeping his thoughts to himself and speaking only to promote the whole of F1.  He doesn’t and that lessens the value of the product.  From just watching the news, how many CEO’s have lost their jobs to one or two off-handed comments?  A good board of directors has little tolerance for for this in the real world.  F1 is not the real world, unfortuntaely.

There is Good News!

There are some good things happening, though.  HassF1, with Ferrari power, are set to race in 2016.  Haas either has or has access to everything an F1 team needs.  Through the Stewart-Hass Nascar team in North Carolina, he has engineering from a number of universities, about a dozen composite companies and even owns the only full sized rolling bed wind tunnel in the US.

Audi, who has been extremely successful in the WEC with V6 turbo hybrids is looking closely at F1.  They have hired Stefano Domenicali, formerly of Ferrari, for a“non-motorsports” position. It doesn’t make sense for VW, who owns both AUDI and Porsche to have them both competing in WEC.  WEC’s loss would be F1’s gain.  I’m already imagining the Silver Arrows fighting it out again.

Still…

I still feel F1, the F1 Strategy group, FOG and Bernie are not taking care of the quality of its final product, the racing.  Bernie can’t shut up and The choices being made by the F1 Strategy Group are only in the best interests of the top 5 Teams and are not in the best interests of F1 as a whole.  If the top 5 teams get their way, we’ll have a 10 car F1 race  with little action at the front of the pack.  That’s not an F1 I would spend money, or time, to watch.